CFB Attendance Predictor

Model Inputs

Home Team (optional) ?

Capacity ? Capacity = the stadium’s total number of seats for football. Use the latest capacity after renovations. Enter a whole number of people (e.g., 80795).

Fill rate ? Fill rate = average home attendance ÷ capacity over recent seasons. Enter a decimal between 0.00 and 1.00 (e.g., 0.92). Capacity percent → decimal
Find the program’s capacity percent in the D1.ticker attendance trends report, then divide by 100 before entering it here. Example: 92% → 0.92.
Open the reference site ↗

Wins ? Wins = home team wins entering this game (e.g., 5).

Losses ? Losses = home team losses entering this game (e.g., 2).

Precipitation ? Precipitation = expected rain/snow during the game in inches (e.g., 0.10 for a light shower). Use 0 if none expected.

Ranked status (optional) ?

Rivalry game? (optional) ?

Kickoff window (optional) ?

Model Accuracy Examples

Hand-entered recent games with verified dates. Differences shown as Predicted − Actual.

#	Date	Game	Location	Capacity	Fill Rate	Wins–Losses	Precip	Actual	Predicted	Diff	Diff %

Sources used for dates & attendance

Indiana vs Old Dominion — Aug 30, 2025 (ESPN). [oai_citation:0‡ESPN.com](https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401752806/old-dominion-indiana?utm_source=chatgpt.com)
Notre Dame vs Purdue — Sep 20, 2025; attendance 77,622 (B1G gamebook & ND postgame notes). [oai_citation:1‡Big Ten Conference](https://bigten.org/api/media/file/PUR%20vs.%20ND%209_20_25.pdf?utm_source=chatgpt.com)
Illinois at Duke — Sep 6, 2025 (ESPN/Illinois official). [oai_citation:2‡ESPN.com](https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401752825/illinois-duke?utm_source=chatgpt.com)
USC at Illinois — Sep 27, 2025 (USC official). [oai_citation:3‡USC Athletics](https://usctrojans.com/sports/football/schedule?utm_source=chatgpt.com)
BYU at Colorado — Sep 27, 2025; attendance 52,265 (Big 12 box/Colorado & BYU pages). [oai_citation:4‡Big 12 Sports](https://big12sports.com/boxscore.aspx?id=7ltyipP022aUJKmSgYVs3wXi7up73ghniwD5ElWyd07J7BNseBaMQePf0fY%2F3yUP%2FPwVHtaMIr8LMSi5wcXpi24tvAKtIJRe4TFRieI9aQ45XdUrhQ%2FXxOv4uG608G3ST00J3g%2BgULFROe6JDunjEO%2BnFeh6nyAMNJd9KUdG7%2F4%3D&path=football&utm_source=chatgpt.com)